DAL WINGS vs. GS VALKYRIES 7/25

Both of these teams come into this game with just one win in their last 5 games.

The Dallas Wings are coming off a good win against the SEA Storm three days ago.

The Valkyries have now lost three straight to IND, LV, and SEA.

Let's cut right to the chase, this game against Dallas tonight is a good bounce back spot for the Valkyries.

The main reason: excellent defensive play at home.

Dallas hasn't shown a good defense anywhere. They have allowed an average of 85.8 points to their opponents on the season and 88.8 points over the last five games. They can't stop you, they have to outscore you. This will be the crucial factor in this game today. The Valkyries are 7 and 4 at home this year, while the Wings have struggled on the road at 3-10.

Yes, I know Kayla Thornton is listed as out for the Valkyries. And yes, I know she is their leading scorer. That's why this line opens at -5.5 but now we're seeing some -3.5's out there.

Why would you lay points with a team that is playing without their leading scorer? Well, because I don't overreact. When you start comparing these two teams, you have to think: Does the team with one on the best defenses in the league need their leading scorer (she leads the team in scoring by less than a basket by the way) to beat a team that has won only 3 games on the road all year and can't stop anyone from scoring?

I don't think so. First string or second string, they are going to score points against this Dallas team.

Now, to be fair I would say Dallas has a slight edge on the offensive side. And I mean slight. With that win against Seattle, maybe a little momentum coming into this game, too. I'm looking for this Golden State defense to rally with Thorton on the bench though, and shut them down today.

Golden State has a home court advantage that is undeniably real, and they're coming off nine days of rest. They are ready to step up and get this win.

Lay the 4 points (you can find -3.5) and I'll meet you at the window.

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