Monday, 21 October 2024
Baltimore Ravens @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8:15pm EST
Type: Total
Pick: Over 50
Risk Amount: 2 units
Analysis:
When some people think about the Ravens they may generally think "great defense". But when you peel the onion back a little bit you see they really are a "great run defense".
Passing, ... not so much. In fact, this year in the NFL only the Jaguars are worse.
Baker Mayfield leads the league with 15 passing touchdowns, close to 1,500 passing yards, and an outstanding 70% completion percentage. With the Ravens top ranked run defense doing what they do, Baker will be throwing the ball tonight. I think as the game goes on, he only gets more confident and starts making reads that lead to plenty of points.
Baltimore will have a more balanced attack with Henry who happens to be the league leader in rushing yards and touchdowns out of the backfield. Henry, along with QB Lamar Jackson, are going to give this 29th ranked Tampa defense more than they can handle on a Monday night.
With two of the top 6 offenses in the league lining up against the current form of these defenses, this game will go up and over the total of 50 points.
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