WEEK 10 NFL PICK

Sunday, 10 November 2024

New York Jets @ Arizona Cardinals

4:25pm EST

Bet Type: Moneyline

Pick: ARI Cardinals

Odds: +110

Risk Amount: 2 Units

Analysis:

This line opened as an even money pick 'em and has moved over the week to make the NY Jets a favorite after beating the HOU Texans 21-13 to snap a 5 game losing streak. Aaron Rodgers had 3 touchdown passes which included a couple one-handed grabs, one of them being revered as the best catch of the season by WR Garret Wilson to take the lead in the 4th quarter. The Jets are now 1-5 straight up in their last 6 games.

Meanwhile, the ARI Cardinals have won 4 of their last 5 after a 29-9 drubbing of the CHI Bears. They are tied for the fewest penalties in the league this season. Their offense is ranked 12th overall and the defense has not allowed a touchdown in it's last two home games. They demonstrated their ability to apply significant pressure on a quarterback last week with 16 different players, which could pose challenges for Rodgers in today's game.

I think recency bias has the wrong team favored here. While we'll most likely see the Jets defense keep them in the game, I believe Aaron Rodgers and the offense who have been unable to score more than 24 points all year, will continue to struggle.

Look for the Cardinals running back James Conner to do just enough against a struggling Jets run defense to open things up for the 5th ranked QB in the league in Kyler Murray. I expect kicker Chad Ryland to continue to be solid for Arizona and probably get them the game wiining field goal in the 4th quarter if this Jets defense are able to keep them in the game.

Take the ARI Cardinals moneyline at +110 and tell Rodgers and the gang to keep the points. We won't need them.

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